SteamWatchRayo Vallecano vs Elche CF: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Rayo Vallecano vs Elche CF (La Liga, 24 Oct 2026) was on Rayo Vallecano in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.75 at open to 1.83 at the close, a -2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 11:54 UTC on 24 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
How the market closed
Rayo Vallecano closed as the 1.83 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Rayo Vallecano, which drifted from 1.75 to 1.83.
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Rayo Vallecano have scored 8.4 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (37 league matches). Elche CF have scored 3.9 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (38 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.75 | 1.83 | -2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.77 | 3.81 | -0.3pp |
| 1X2 | Elche CF | 4.39 | 4.54 | -0.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 2.03 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | Rayo Vallecano -0.75 | 1.99 | 2.08 | -2.2pp |
| Asian handicap | Elche CF +0.75 | 1.84 | 1.85 | -0.3pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.75 | 3.77 | 4.39 |
| 48 hours before | 1.81 | 3.83 | 4.49 |
| 24 hours before | 1.81 | 3.83 | 4.50 |
| 6 hours before | 1.78 | 3.91 | 4.63 |
| 1 hour before | 1.78 | 3.93 | 4.66 |
| Close | 1.83 | 3.81 | 4.54 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Rayo Vallecano drifted from 1.76 to 1.83, a -2.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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