SteamWatchAlavés vs Málaga: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Alavés vs Málaga (La Liga, 23 Oct 2026) was on Málaga in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.60 at open to 6.27 at the close, a -5.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 12:03 UTC on 12 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.5 at open to 2.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -1 at the close.
Result
Full time: Alavés 1-1 Málaga. Alavés closed as the 1.63 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.81. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Málaga, which drifted from 4.60 to 6.27 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Málaga have scored 3.7 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (12 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alavés | 1.74 | 1.63 | +3.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.66 | 3.81 | -1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Málaga | 4.60 | 6.27 | -5.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.25 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.25 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Asian handicap | Alavés -1 | — | 2.16 | — |
| Asian handicap | Málaga +1 | — | 1.79 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Alavés | Draw | Málaga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.74 | 3.66 | 4.60 |
| 48 hours before | 1.76 | 3.76 | 4.97 |
| 24 hours before | 1.70 | 3.82 | 5.39 |
| 6 hours before | 1.67 | 3.76 | 5.96 |
| 1 hour before | 1.60 | 3.90 | 6.60 |
| Close | 1.63 | 3.81 | 6.27 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other La Liga matches this round
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- Valencia vs Villarreal
- Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruña
- Athletic Bilbao vs Getafe
- Celta Vigo vs Real Betis
- Real Sociedad vs Levante
- Barcelona vs Real Madrid
- Sevilla vs CA Osasuna