SteamWatchBayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Bayer Leverkusen in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.49 at open to 1.40 at the close, a +4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:09 UTC on 5 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1 at open to -1.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 Marseille. Bayer Leverkusen closed as the 1.40 favourite with Pinnacle. Marseille won at a closing price of 6.88. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Bayer Leverkusen, which shortened from 1.49 to 1.40 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1.49 | 1.40 | +4.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.59 | 5.55 | -3.8pp |
| 1X2 | Marseille | 5.54 | 6.88 | -3.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | — | 1.94 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bayer Leverkusen -1.5 | — | 2.04 | — |
| Asian handicap | Marseille +1.5 | — | 1.85 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.49 | 4.59 | 5.54 |
| 48 hours before | 1.38 | 5.59 | 7.45 |
| 24 hours before | 1.38 | 5.64 | 7.48 |
| 6 hours before | 1.31 | 6.23 | 8.69 |
| 1 hour before | 1.33 | 6.03 | 7.94 |
| Close | 1.40 | 5.55 | 6.88 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Bayer Leverkusen drifted from 1.30 to 1.40, a -5.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Europa League matches this round
- PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
- AC Milan vs Ferencváros TC
- Anderlecht vs Salzburg
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus
- Benfica vs Lech Poznań
- Celtic vs Besiktas JK
- Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb
- Torreense vs FC Ararat-Armenia
- Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI Crete
- SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje
- Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise