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Europa League · kickoff 20:00 UTC on 5 Nov 2026

Benfica vs Lech Poznań: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Benfica vs Lech Poznań (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Benfica in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.19 at open to 1.24 at the close, a -3.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:09 UTC on 5 Nov 2026.

The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 4 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

The Asian handicap line moved from -2 at open to -2.25 at the close.

Result

Full time: Benfica 3-1 Lech Poznań. Benfica closed as the 1.24 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Benfica, which drifted from 1.19 to 1.24 and won.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Benfica1.191.24-3.4pp
1X2Draw6.687.25-1.2pp
1X2Lech Poznań12.8210.50+1.7pp
TotalsOver 4—2.04—
TotalsUnder 4—1.84—
Asian handicapBenfica -2.25—2.04—
Asian handicapLech Poznań +2.25—1.85—

1253 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 16:24 UTC on 23 Oct 2026 · last 19:59 UTC on 5 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenBenficaDrawLech Poznań
Open1.196.6812.82
48 hours before1.156.5611.71
24 hours before1.167.8516.10
6 hours before1.1310.1320.69
1 hour before1.159.0316.78
Close1.247.2510.50

In the final two hours before kickoff Benfica drifted from 1.12 to 1.24, a -8.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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