SteamWatchLillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Lillestrom in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.72 at open to 3.39 at the close, a -7.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 07:51 UTC on 5 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to +0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Lillestrom 0-1 Viktoria Plzeň. Viktoria Plzeň closed as the 2.09 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lillestrom, which drifted from 2.72 to 3.39 and did not win.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lillestrom | 2.72 | 3.39 | -7.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.72 | 3.88 | -1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Viktoria Plzeň | 2.36 | 2.09 | +5.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.90 | 1.93 | -0.8pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.90 | 1.96 | -1.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Lillestrom +0.25 | — | 2.09 | — |
| Asian handicap | Viktoria Plzeň -0.25 | — | 1.83 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Lillestrom | Draw | Viktoria Plzeň |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.72 | 3.72 | 2.36 |
| 48 hours before | 3.02 | 3.89 | 2.18 |
| 24 hours before | 3.02 | 3.89 | 2.18 |
| 6 hours before | 2.98 | 3.93 | 2.27 |
| 1 hour before | 2.99 | 3.89 | 2.28 |
| Close | 3.39 | 3.88 | 2.09 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Viktoria Plzeň shortened from 2.28 to 2.09, a +4.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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