SteamWatchNEC Nijmegen vs Omonoia FC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for NEC Nijmegen vs Omonoia FC (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Over 3 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 1.98 at the close, a -4.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -1 at the close.
Result
Full time: NEC Nijmegen 3-1 Omonoia FC. NEC Nijmegen closed as the 1.65 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Omonoia FC, which drifted from 4.13 to 4.97 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on NEC Nijmegen at 1.65, 25 minutes before kickoff, after a 5.4 percentage-point rise in implied probability. NEC Nijmegen won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NEC Nijmegen | 1.74 | 1.65 | +3.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.02 | 4.46 | -2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Omonoia FC | 4.13 | 4.97 | -4.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.83 | 1.98 | -4.1pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.99 | 1.91 | +2.1pp |
| Asian handicap | NEC Nijmegen -1 | — | 2.10 | — |
| Asian handicap | Omonoia FC +1 | — | 1.83 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | NEC Nijmegen | Draw | Omonoia FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.74 | 4.02 | 4.13 |
| 48 hours before | 1.81 | 3.97 | 4.07 |
| 24 hours before | 1.79 | 4.02 | 4.13 |
| 6 hours before | 1.76 | 4.17 | 4.47 |
| 1 hour before | 1.74 | 4.21 | 4.51 |
| Close | 1.65 | 4.46 | 4.97 |
In the final two hours before kickoff NEC Nijmegen shortened from 1.75 to 1.65, a +3.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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