SteamWatchReal Sociedad vs Lyon: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Real Sociedad vs Lyon (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Real Sociedad in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.95 at open to 1.71 at the close, a +7.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:59 UTC on 5 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Real Sociedad 1-1 Lyon. Real Sociedad closed as the 1.71 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 4.29. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Real Sociedad, which shortened from 1.95 to 1.71 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Real Sociedad at 1.60, 4 hours 27 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.0 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Real Sociedad did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Real Sociedad | 1.95 | 1.71 | +7.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.71 | 4.29 | -3.6pp |
| 1X2 | Lyon | 3.54 | 4.60 | -6.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 2.06 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.84 | — |
| Asian handicap | Real Sociedad -0.75 | — | 1.90 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lyon +0.75 | — | 2.00 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Real Sociedad | Draw | Lyon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.95 | 3.71 | 3.54 |
| 48 hours before | 1.83 | 4.13 | 4.10 |
| 24 hours before | 1.75 | 4.27 | 4.37 |
| 6 hours before | 1.63 | 4.53 | 5.01 |
| 1 hour before | 1.61 | 4.59 | 5.10 |
| Close | 1.71 | 4.29 | 4.60 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Real Sociedad drifted from 1.56 to 1.71, a -5.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Europa League matches this round
- PFC Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia Białystok
- AC Milan vs Ferencváros TC
- Anderlecht vs Salzburg
- Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth
- Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim
- Lillestrom vs Viktoria Plzeň
- NEC Nijmegen vs Omonoia FC
- Celta Vigo vs Union Saint-Gilloise
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus
- Benfica vs Lech Poznań
- Celtic vs Besiktas JK
- Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb