SteamWatchCrystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Crystal Palace vs TSG Hoffenheim (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Crystal Palace -0.5 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 1.95 at the close, a -3.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Crystal Palace 1-1 TSG Hoffenheim. Crystal Palace closed as the 1.94 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.96. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Crystal Palace, which drifted from 1.83 to 1.94 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Crystal Palace at 1.78, 3 hours 40 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Crystal Palace did not win.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Crystal Palace | 1.83 | 1.94 | -3.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.95 | 3.96 | -0.1pp |
| 1X2 | TSG Hoffenheim | 3.79 | 3.76 | +0.2pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 2.05 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Crystal Palace -0.5 | 1.83 | 1.95 | -3.4pp |
| Asian handicap | TSG Hoffenheim +0.5 | 1.99 | 1.95 | +1.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Crystal Palace | Draw | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.83 | 3.95 | 3.79 |
| 48 hours before | 1.96 | 4.06 | 3.62 |
| 24 hours before | 1.95 | 4.01 | 3.68 |
| 6 hours before | 1.88 | 4.17 | 3.82 |
| 1 hour before | 1.79 | 4.21 | 4.24 |
| Close | 1.94 | 3.96 | 3.76 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Crystal Palace drifted from 1.78 to 1.94, a -4.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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