SteamWatchAC Milan vs Ferencváros TC: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for AC Milan vs Ferencváros TC (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on Under 3 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.91 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -3.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.5 at open to -1.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: AC Milan 0-2 Ferencváros TC. AC Milan closed as the 1.42 favourite with Pinnacle. Ferencváros TC won at a closing price of 6.89. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was AC Milan, which drifted from 1.37 to 1.42 and did not win.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AC Milan | 1.37 | 1.42 | -2.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.74 | 5.35 | -2.4pp |
| 1X2 | Ferencváros TC | 7.72 | 6.89 | +1.6pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.89 | 1.85 | +1.1pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.91 | 2.04 | -3.3pp |
| Asian handicap | AC Milan -1.25 | — | 1.94 | — |
| Asian handicap | Ferencváros TC +1.25 | — | 1.96 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | AC Milan | Draw | Ferencváros TC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.37 | 4.74 | 7.72 |
| 48 hours before | 1.26 | 5.14 | 7.86 |
| 24 hours before | 1.29 | 4.92 | 7.34 |
| 6 hours before | 1.34 | 5.71 | 8.79 |
| 1 hour before | 1.38 | 5.55 | 7.60 |
| Close | 1.42 | 5.35 | 6.89 |
In the final two hours before kickoff AC Milan drifted from 1.37 to 1.42, a -2.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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