SteamWatchSK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje (Europa League, 5 Nov 2026) was on NK Celje in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.78 at open to 5.98 at the close, a -4.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:40 UTC on 23 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -1 at the close.
Result
Full time: SK Sturm Graz 2-3 NK Celje. SK Sturm Graz closed as the 1.54 favourite with Pinnacle. NK Celje won at a closing price of 5.98. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was NK Celje, which drifted from 4.78 to 5.98 and won.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SK Sturm Graz | 1.62 | 1.54 | +3.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.14 | 4.58 | -2.3pp |
| 1X2 | NK Celje | 4.78 | 5.98 | -4.2pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.99 | 1.97 | +0.5pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.82 | 1.92 | -2.9pp |
| Asian handicap | SK Sturm Graz -1 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | NK Celje +1 | — | 2.03 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | SK Sturm Graz | Draw | NK Celje |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.62 | 4.14 | 4.78 |
| 48 hours before | 1.53 | 4.55 | 5.53 |
| 24 hours before | 1.53 | 4.54 | 5.53 |
| 6 hours before | 1.52 | 4.76 | 6.02 |
| 1 hour before | 1.54 | 4.65 | 5.86 |
| Close | 1.54 | 4.58 | 5.98 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
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