SteamWatchBosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland (UEFA Nations League, 5 Oct 2026) was on Poland in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.63 at open to 2.30 at the close, a -17.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 22:10 UTC on 2 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Poland closed as the 2.30 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Poland, which drifted from 1.63 to 2.30.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 3.20 | 3.55 | -3.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 2.90 | 3.45 | -5.5pp |
| 1X2 | Poland | 1.63 | 2.30 | -17.9pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Draw | Poland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.20 | 2.90 | 1.63 |
| 48 hours before | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.28 |
| 24 hours before | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.46 |
| 6 hours before | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.52 |
| 1 hour before | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.52 |
| Close | 3.55 | 3.45 | 2.30 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Poland shortened from 2.48 to 2.30, a +3.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Wales vs Denmark
- Greece vs Germany
- Portugal vs Norway
- Republic of Ireland vs Israel
- Cyprus vs Latvia
- Romania vs Sweden
- Italy vs Turkey
- France vs Belgium
- Ukraine vs Hungary
- Northern Ireland vs Georgia
- Montenegro vs Armenia
- Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands