SteamWatchNorthern Ireland vs Georgia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Northern Ireland vs Georgia (UEFA Nations League, 5 Oct 2026) was on Georgia in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.78 at open to 3.55 at the close, a -7.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 23:48 UTC on 2 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Northern Ireland closed as the 2.58 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Georgia, which drifted from 2.78 to 3.55.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Northern Ireland | 2.54 | 2.58 | -0.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 2.86 | 3.00 | -1.6pp |
| 1X2 | Georgia | 2.78 | 3.55 | -7.8pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Northern Ireland | Draw | Georgia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.54 | 2.86 | 2.78 |
| 48 hours before | 2.54 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| 24 hours before | 2.44 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| 6 hours before | 2.52 | 3.05 | 3.50 |
| 1 hour before | 2.44 | 3.05 | 3.70 |
| Close | 2.58 | 3.00 | 3.55 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Cyprus vs Latvia
- Romania vs Sweden
- Italy vs Turkey
- France vs Belgium
- Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
- Ukraine vs Hungary
- Montenegro vs Armenia
- Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
- England vs Czech Republic
- Moldova vs Slovakia
- Belarus vs Finland
- Estonia vs Iceland