SteamWatchBelarus vs Finland: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Belarus vs Finland (UEFA Nations League, 6 Oct 2026) was on Finland in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.58 at open to 2.12 at the close, a -16.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 04:57 UTC on 5 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Finland closed as the 2.12 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Finland, which drifted from 1.58 to 2.12.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Belarus | 3.15 | 4.20 | -7.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 2.90 | 3.35 | -4.6pp |
| 1X2 | Finland | 1.58 | 2.12 | -16.1pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Belarus | Draw | Finland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.15 | 2.90 | 1.58 |
| 48 hours before | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.04 |
| 24 hours before | 4.10 | 3.55 | 2.04 |
| 6 hours before | 4.40 | 3.35 | 2.08 |
| 1 hour before | 4.50 | 3.25 | 2.08 |
| Close | 4.20 | 3.35 | 2.12 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Belarus shortened from 4.60 to 4.20, a +2.1 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Ukraine vs Hungary
- Northern Ireland vs Georgia
- Montenegro vs Armenia
- Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
- Estonia vs Iceland
- Croatia vs Spain
- England vs Czech Republic
- Moldova vs Slovakia
- Switzerland vs North Macedonia
- Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
- Albania vs San Marino
- Scotland vs Slovenia