SteamWatchAlbania vs San Marino: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Albania vs San Marino (UEFA Nations League, 6 Oct 2026) was on San Marino in the 1X2 market: drifted from 50.00 at open to 160.00 at the close, a -1.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 20:25 UTC on 4 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Albania closed as the 1.03 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was San Marino, which drifted from 50.00 to 160.00.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albania | 1.03 | 1.03 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 30.00 | 36.00 | -0.6pp |
| 1X2 | San Marino | 50.00 | 160.00 | -1.4pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Albania | Draw | San Marino |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.03 | 30.00 | 50.00 |
| 48 hours before | 1.03 | 32.00 | 60.00 |
| 24 hours before | 1.03 | 34.00 | 85.00 |
| 6 hours before | 1.03 | 38.00 | 85.00 |
| 1 hour before | 1.04 | 28.00 | 140.00 |
| Close | 1.03 | 36.00 | 160.00 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
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- England vs Czech Republic
- Moldova vs Slovakia
- Switzerland vs North Macedonia
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- Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
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