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UEFA Nations League · kickoff 18:45 UTC on 6 Oct 2026

England vs Czech Republic: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for England vs Czech Republic (UEFA Nations League, 6 Oct 2026) was on Czech Republic in the 1X2 market: drifted from 5.80 at open to 22.50 at the close, a -12.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:05 UTC on 3 Oct 2026.

The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

How the market closed

England closed as the 1.12 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Czech Republic, which drifted from 5.80 to 22.50.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2England1.061.12-5.1pp
1X2Draw5.5010.25-8.4pp
1X2Czech Republic5.8022.50-12.8pp
TotalsOver 3.5—1.83—
TotalsUnder 3.5—2.04—
Asian handicapEngland -2.251.911.93-0.5pp
Asian handicapCzech Republic +2.251.891.93-1.1pp

704 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 15:26 UTC on 1 Oct 2026 · last 18:44 UTC on 6 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenEnglandDrawCzech Republic
Open1.065.505.80
48 hours before1.138.7516.33
24 hours before1.129.5618.44
6 hours before1.1210.3319.80
1 hour before1.129.8818.34
Close1.1210.2522.50

In the final two hours before kickoff Czech Republic drifted from 18.29 to 22.50, a -1.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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