SteamWatchScotland vs Slovenia: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Scotland vs Slovenia (UEFA Nations League, 6 Oct 2026) was on Scotland in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 2.06 at the close, a -5.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:28 UTC on 6 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Scotland closed as the 2.06 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Scotland, which drifted from 1.85 to 2.06.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Scotland | 1.85 | 2.06 | -5.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.75 | 3.25 | +4.1pp |
| 1X2 | Slovenia | 5.00 | 4.80 | +0.8pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Scotland | Draw | Slovenia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.85 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| 48 hours before | 1.81 | 3.85 | 5.20 |
| 24 hours before | 1.81 | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| 6 hours before | 1.90 | 3.50 | 5.20 |
| 1 hour before | 1.88 | 3.45 | 5.50 |
| Close | 2.06 | 3.25 | 4.80 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Scotland drifted from 1.89 to 2.06, a -4.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Northern Ireland vs Georgia
- Montenegro vs Armenia
- Ukraine vs Hungary
- Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands
- Moldova vs Slovakia
- Switzerland vs North Macedonia
- Belarus vs Finland
- Croatia vs Spain
- England vs Czech Republic
- Estonia vs Iceland
- Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
- Albania vs San Marino