SteamWatchKazakhstan vs Faroe Islands: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League, 6 Oct 2026) was on Faroe Islands in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.25 at open to 3.35 at the close, a -0.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 13:14 UTC on 6 Oct 2026.
How the market closed
Kazakhstan closed as the 2.56 favourite with Pinnacle.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kazakhstan | 2.58 | 2.56 | +0.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.10 | 3.10 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Faroe Islands | 3.25 | 3.35 | -0.9pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Kazakhstan | Draw | Faroe Islands |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.58 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| 48 hours before | 2.58 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| 24 hours before | 2.48 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| 6 hours before | 2.70 | 3.10 | 3.15 |
| 1 hour before | 2.78 | 3.10 | 3.05 |
| Close | 2.56 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Kazakhstan shortened from 2.72 to 2.56, a +2.3 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other UEFA Nations League matches this round
- Northern Ireland vs Georgia
- Montenegro vs Armenia
- Ukraine vs Hungary
- Belarus vs Finland
- Croatia vs Spain
- England vs Czech Republic
- Estonia vs Iceland
- Moldova vs Slovakia
- Switzerland vs North Macedonia
- Luxembourg vs Bulgaria
- Scotland vs Slovenia
- Albania vs San Marino