SteamWatchQueens Park Rangers vs Derby County: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County (EFL Championship, 14 Oct 2026) was on Queens Park Rangers in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.75 at open to 1.83 at the close, a -2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:47 UTC on 14 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 2.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Queens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County. Queens Park Rangers closed as the 1.83 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Queens Park Rangers, which drifted from 1.75 to 1.83 and won.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Queens Park Rangers | 1.75 | 1.83 | -2.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.76 | 3.84 | -0.6pp |
| 1X2 | Derby County | 4.40 | 4.38 | +0.1pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Asian handicap | Queens Park Rangers -0.5 | — | 1.84 | — |
| Asian handicap | Derby County +0.5 | — | 2.08 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Derby County |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.75 | 3.76 | 4.40 |
| 48 hours before | 1.79 | 3.79 | 4.34 |
| 24 hours before | 1.65 | 4.05 | 4.95 |
| 6 hours before | 1.70 | 4.00 | 5.04 |
| 1 hour before | 1.68 | 3.99 | 5.22 |
| Close | 1.83 | 3.84 | 4.38 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Queens Park Rangers drifted from 1.69 to 1.83, a -4.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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