SteamWatchCardiff City vs Watford: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Cardiff City vs Watford (EFL Championship, 13 Oct 2026) was on Watford in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.41 at open to 4.84 at the close, a -2.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:55 UTC on 13 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Cardiff City 5-1 Watford. Cardiff City closed as the 1.67 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Watford, which drifted from 4.41 to 4.84 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Cardiff City at 1.61, 3 hours 58 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.3 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Cardiff City won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cardiff City | 1.65 | 1.67 | -0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.30 | 4.35 | -0.3pp |
| 1X2 | Watford | 4.41 | 4.84 | -2.0pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.87 | — |
| Asian handicap | Cardiff City -0.75 | 1.83 | 1.85 | -0.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Watford +0.75 | 1.99 | 2.07 | -1.9pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Cardiff City | Draw | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.65 | 4.30 | 4.41 |
| 48 hours before | 1.65 | 4.45 | 4.51 |
| 24 hours before | 1.71 | 4.29 | 4.21 |
| 6 hours before | 1.64 | 4.49 | 4.91 |
| 1 hour before | 1.61 | 4.56 | 5.09 |
| Close | 1.67 | 4.35 | 4.84 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Cardiff City drifted from 1.61 to 1.67, a -2.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
- Southampton vs Portsmouth
- Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers
- Burnley vs Charlton Athletic
- Millwall vs Swansea City
- Wrexham AFC vs West Bromwich Albion
- Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Bolton Wanderers
- Stoke City vs Middlesbrough
- Birmingham City vs Preston North End
- Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County
- Portsmouth vs Sheffield United
- Norwich City vs Southampton
- Lincoln City vs West Ham United