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EFL Championship · kickoff 18:45 UTC on 13 Oct 2026

Millwall vs Swansea City: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Millwall vs Swansea City (EFL Championship, 13 Oct 2026) was on Over 2.5 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 2.08 at the close, a -6.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.

The Asian handicap line moved from +0 at open to -0.25 at the close.

Result

Full time: Millwall 0-1 Swansea City. Millwall closed as the 2.45 favourite with Pinnacle. Swansea City won at a closing price of 3.05. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Swansea City, which drifted from 2.63 to 3.05 and won.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Millwall2.592.45+2.2pp
1X2Draw3.403.36+0.4pp
1X2Swansea City2.633.05-5.2pp
TotalsOver 2.51.852.08-6.0pp
TotalsUnder 2.51.961.83+3.6pp
Asian handicapMillwall -0.25—2.11—
Asian handicapSwansea City +0.25—1.81—

309 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 14:37 UTC on 10 Oct 2026 · last 18:41 UTC on 13 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenMillwallDrawSwansea City
Open2.593.402.63
48 hours before2.553.442.72
24 hours before2.473.442.83
6 hours before2.503.313.02
1 hour before2.373.333.22
Close2.453.363.05

In the final two hours before kickoff Swansea City shortened from 3.21 to 3.05, a +1.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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