Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Stoke City vs Middlesbrough (EFL Championship, 13 Oct 2026) was on Over 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.82 at open to 2.04 at the close, a -5.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
How the market closed
Middlesbrough closed as the 1.95 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Middlesbrough, which drifted from 1.87 to 1.95.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stoke City | 3.58 | 3.78 | -1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.99 | 3.88 | +0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 1.87 | 1.95 | -2.2pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.82 | 2.04 | -5.9pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.99 | 1.85 | +3.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Stoke City +0.5 | 1.93 | 1.94 | -0.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Middlesbrough -0.5 | 1.88 | 1.96 | -2.2pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Stoke City | Draw | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.58 | 3.99 | 1.87 |
| 48 hours before | 3.48 | 3.98 | 1.95 |
| 24 hours before | 3.36 | 3.89 | 2.01 |
| 6 hours before | 3.60 | 3.73 | 2.05 |
| 1 hour before | 3.86 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| Close | 3.78 | 3.88 | 1.95 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
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