SteamWatchNorwich City vs Southampton: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Norwich City vs Southampton (EFL Championship, 14 Oct 2026) was on Southampton in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.81 at open to 3.00 at the close, a -2.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:15 UTC on 14 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Norwich City 0-1 Southampton. Norwich City closed as the 2.35 favourite with Pinnacle. Southampton won at a closing price of 3.00. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Southampton, which drifted from 2.81 to 3.00 and won.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Norwich City | 2.29 | 2.35 | -1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.72 | 3.65 | +0.5pp |
| 1X2 | Southampton | 2.81 | 3.00 | -2.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Norwich City -0.25 | 2.02 | 2.05 | -0.7pp |
| Asian handicap | Southampton +0.25 | 1.81 | 1.86 | -1.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Norwich City | Draw | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.29 | 3.72 | 2.81 |
| 48 hours before | 2.41 | 3.77 | 2.71 |
| 24 hours before | 2.41 | 3.76 | 2.71 |
| 6 hours before | 2.41 | 3.65 | 2.90 |
| 1 hour before | 2.52 | 3.62 | 2.78 |
| Close | 2.35 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Norwich City shortened from 2.52 to 2.35, a +2.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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