Watford vs Lincoln City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Watford vs Lincoln City (EFL Championship, 3 Nov 2026) was on Watford in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.27 at open to 2.62 at the close, a -5.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:47 UTC on 3 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to +0 at the close.
Result
Full time: Watford 1-0 Lincoln City. Watford closed as the 2.62 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Watford, which drifted from 2.27 to 2.62 and won.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Watford | 2.27 | 2.62 | -5.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.43 | 3.47 | -0.3pp |
| 1X2 | Lincoln City | 3.08 | 2.78 | +3.5pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | 1.90 | 2.01 | -2.9pp |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | 1.90 | 1.88 | +0.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Watford +0 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Asian handicap | Lincoln City -0 | — | 2.01 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Watford | Draw | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 2.27 | 3.43 | 3.08 |
| 48 hours before | 2.48 | 3.51 | 2.79 |
| 24 hours before | 2.46 | 3.51 | 2.81 |
| 6 hours before | 2.71 | 3.39 | 2.73 |
| 1 hour before | 2.81 | 3.40 | 2.63 |
| Close | 2.62 | 3.47 | 2.78 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Watford shortened from 2.82 to 2.62, a +2.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
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- Birmingham City vs Millwall
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