EFL Championship · kickoff 19:45 UTC on 3 Nov 2026

Watford vs Lincoln City: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Watford vs Lincoln City (EFL Championship, 3 Nov 2026) was on Watford in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.27 at open to 2.62 at the close, a -5.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:47 UTC on 3 Nov 2026.

The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to +0 at the close.

Result

Full time: Watford 1-0 Lincoln City. Watford closed as the 2.62 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Watford, which drifted from 2.27 to 2.62 and won.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Watford2.272.62-5.9pp
1X2Draw3.433.47-0.3pp
1X2Lincoln City3.082.78+3.5pp
TotalsOver 2.51.902.01-2.9pp
TotalsUnder 2.51.901.88+0.6pp
Asian handicapWatford +0—1.89—
Asian handicapLincoln City -0—2.01—

333 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 13:00 UTC on 31 Oct 2026 · last 19:43 UTC on 3 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenWatfordDrawLincoln City
Open2.273.433.08
48 hours before2.483.512.79
24 hours before2.463.512.81
6 hours before2.713.392.73
1 hour before2.813.402.63
Close2.623.472.78

In the final two hours before kickoff Watford shortened from 2.82 to 2.62, a +2.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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