Derby County vs Norwich City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Derby County vs Norwich City (EFL Championship, 3 Nov 2026) was on Derby County in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.25 at open to 3.75 at the close, a -4.1 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 18:47 UTC on 3 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.25 at open to +0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Derby County 0-4 Norwich City. Norwich City closed as the 1.95 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Derby County, which drifted from 3.25 to 3.75 and did not win.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Derby County | 3.25 | 3.75 | -4.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.76 | 3.95 | -1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Norwich City | 2.06 | 1.95 | +2.7pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.88 | 1.85 | +0.9pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.92 | 2.05 | -3.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Derby County +0.5 | — | 1.94 | — |
| Asian handicap | Norwich City -0.5 | — | 1.96 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Derby County | Draw | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.25 | 3.76 | 2.06 |
| 48 hours before | 3.29 | 3.81 | 2.08 |
| 24 hours before | 3.34 | 3.60 | 2.12 |
| 6 hours before | 3.64 | 3.72 | 2.05 |
| 1 hour before | 3.40 | 3.67 | 2.15 |
| Close | 3.75 | 3.95 | 1.95 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Norwich City shortened from 2.16 to 1.95, a +5.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
- Queens Park Rangers vs Burnley
- Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
- Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City
- Watford vs Lincoln City
- Preston North End vs Sheffield United
- Portsmouth vs Swansea City
- Birmingham City vs Millwall
- West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton
- Cardiff City vs West Ham United
- Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough
- Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers