SteamWatchWrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough (EFL Championship, 4 Nov 2026) was on Draw in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.30 at open to 3.85 at the close, a -17.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 15:20 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 2.75 at open to 2.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.5 at open to +0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Wrexham AFC 2-0 Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough closed as the 1.81 favourite with Pinnacle. Wrexham AFC won at a closing price of 4.49. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was the draw, which drifted from 2.30 to 3.85 and did not come in.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wrexham AFC | 3.30 | 4.49 | -8.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 2.30 | 3.85 | -17.5pp |
| 1X2 | Middlesbrough | 1.87 | 1.81 | +1.8pp |
| Totals | Over 2.5 | — | 1.87 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.5 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | Wrexham AFC +0.75 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Middlesbrough -0.75 | — | 2.07 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Wrexham AFC | Draw | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.30 | 2.30 | 1.87 |
| 48 hours before | 4.20 | 4.13 | 1.75 |
| 24 hours before | 4.28 | 4.20 | 1.72 |
| 6 hours before | 4.64 | 4.27 | 1.71 |
| 1 hour before | 4.91 | 4.32 | 1.67 |
| Close | 4.49 | 3.85 | 1.81 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Middlesbrough drifted from 1.69 to 1.81, a -3.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
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