Birmingham City vs Millwall: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Birmingham City vs Millwall (EFL Championship, 3 Nov 2026) was on Under 2.75 in the Totals market: drifted from 1.83 at open to 1.88 at the close, a -1.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
How the market closed
Birmingham City closed as the 1.98 favourite with Pinnacle. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Birmingham City, which drifted from 1.93 to 1.98.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Birmingham City | 1.93 | 1.98 | -1.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.66 | 3.72 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Millwall | 3.69 | 3.87 | -1.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | 1.97 | 2.01 | -1.0pp |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | 1.83 | 1.88 | -1.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Birmingham City -0.5 | 1.94 | 1.99 | -1.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Millwall +0.5 | 1.88 | 1.92 | -1.1pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Birmingham City | Draw | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.93 | 3.66 | 3.69 |
| 48 hours before | 1.97 | 3.65 | 3.75 |
| 24 hours before | 1.98 | 3.65 | 3.72 |
| 6 hours before | 1.94 | 3.84 | 3.90 |
| 1 hour before | 2.00 | 3.69 | 3.84 |
| Close | 1.98 | 3.72 | 3.87 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other EFL Championship matches this round
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- Derby County vs Norwich City
- Charlton Athletic vs Bolton Wanderers
- Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City
- Watford vs Lincoln City
- Preston North End vs Sheffield United
- Portsmouth vs Swansea City
- West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton
- Cardiff City vs West Ham United
- Wrexham AFC vs Middlesbrough
- Bristol City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
- Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers