SteamWatchVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga, 7 Nov 2026) was on VfB Stuttgart in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.42 at open to 1.87 at the close, a -16.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 04:52 UTC on 7 Nov 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.25 at open to -0.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: VfB Stuttgart 1-0 Werder Bremen. VfB Stuttgart closed as the 1.87 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was VfB Stuttgart, which drifted from 1.42 to 1.87 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Werder Bremen at 3.70, 4 hours 36 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.2 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Werder Bremen did not win.
VfB Stuttgart have scored 6.3 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Werder Bremen have scored 4.3 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 1.42 | 1.87 | -16.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.26 | 4.24 | +4.6pp |
| 1X2 | Werder Bremen | 5.76 | 3.92 | +8.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.79 | 1.96 | -4.8pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 2.03 | 1.94 | +2.3pp |
| Asian handicap | VfB Stuttgart -0.5 | — | 1.87 | — |
| Asian handicap | Werder Bremen +0.5 | — | 2.06 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | VfB Stuttgart | Draw | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.42 | 5.26 | 5.76 |
| 48 hours before | 1.62 | 4.85 | 4.70 |
| 24 hours before | 1.69 | 4.69 | 4.38 |
| 6 hours before | 1.88 | 4.29 | 3.84 |
| 1 hour before | 1.89 | 4.18 | 3.87 |
| Close | 1.87 | 4.24 | 3.92 |
In the final two hours before kickoff VfB Stuttgart shortened from 1.92 to 1.87, a +1.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
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- FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich
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- SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
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