SteamWatch1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga, 8 Nov 2026) was on 1. FC Köln in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.05 at open to 4.89 at the close, a -4.2 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 20:50 UTC on 25 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: 1. FC Köln 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen closed as the 1.71 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was 1. FC Köln, which drifted from 4.05 to 4.89 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Bayer Leverkusen at 1.71, 12 minutes before kickoff, after a 5.0 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Bayer Leverkusen won.
1. FC Köln have scored 8.0 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1. FC Köln | 4.05 | 4.89 | -4.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.21 | 4.17 | +0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1.72 | 1.71 | +0.3pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.02 | — |
| Asian handicap | 1. FC Köln +0.75 | 1.90 | 2.03 | -3.4pp |
| Asian handicap | Bayer Leverkusen -0.75 | 1.92 | 1.90 | +0.5pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | 1. FC Köln | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.05 | 4.21 | 1.72 |
| 48 hours before | 3.93 | 4.16 | 1.86 |
| 24 hours before | 3.93 | 4.11 | 1.87 |
| 6 hours before | 4.18 | 4.02 | 1.83 |
| 1 hour before | 4.52 | 4.02 | 1.79 |
| Close | 4.89 | 4.17 | 1.71 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Bayer Leverkusen shortened from 1.81 to 1.71, a +3.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Monchengladbach
- RB Leipzig vs Augsburg
- Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg
- SC Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich
- VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
- SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin
- TSG Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04