SteamWatchSC Freiburg vs Union Berlin: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga, 8 Nov 2026) was on Union Berlin in the 1X2 market: drifted from 5.72 at open to 7.25 at the close, a -3.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 16:00 UTC on 8 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1 at open to -1.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: SC Freiburg 2-0 Union Berlin. SC Freiburg closed as the 1.49 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Union Berlin, which drifted from 5.72 to 7.25 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
SC Freiburg have scored 3.6 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Union Berlin have scored 5.2 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Freiburg | 1.49 | 1.49 | +0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.54 | 4.55 | -0.0pp |
| 1X2 | Union Berlin | 5.72 | 7.25 | -3.7pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.97 | — |
| Asian handicap | SC Freiburg -1.25 | — | 2.08 | — |
| Asian handicap | Union Berlin +1.25 | — | 1.85 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | SC Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.49 | 4.54 | 5.72 |
| 48 hours before | 1.51 | 4.65 | 6.38 |
| 24 hours before | 1.51 | 4.67 | 6.41 |
| 6 hours before | 1.47 | 4.76 | 7.14 |
| 1 hour before | 1.46 | 4.70 | 7.56 |
| Close | 1.49 | 4.55 | 7.25 |
In the final two hours before kickoff SC Freiburg drifted from 1.45 to 1.49, a -1.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
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