SteamWatchTSG Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for TSG Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 (Bundesliga, 8 Nov 2026) was on TSG Hoffenheim in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.47 at open to 1.56 at the close, a -3.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:54 UTC on 8 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.5 at open to 3 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -1.25 at open to -1 at the close.
Result
Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 2-1 FC Schalke 04. TSG Hoffenheim closed as the 1.56 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was TSG Hoffenheim, which drifted from 1.47 to 1.56 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on TSG Hoffenheim at 1.53, 36 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.0 percentage-point rise in implied probability. TSG Hoffenheim won.
FC Schalke 04 have scored 5.1 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (9 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TSG Hoffenheim | 1.47 | 1.56 | -3.9pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.89 | 4.60 | +1.3pp |
| 1X2 | FC Schalke 04 | 5.41 | 5.94 | -1.6pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | — | 1.83 | — |
| Totals | Under 3 | — | 2.09 | — |
| Asian handicap | TSG Hoffenheim -1 | — | 1.88 | — |
| Asian handicap | FC Schalke 04 +1 | — | 2.04 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | TSG Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.47 | 4.89 | 5.41 |
| 48 hours before | 1.65 | 4.44 | 4.89 |
| 24 hours before | 1.63 | 4.45 | 5.06 |
| 6 hours before | 1.60 | 4.50 | 5.59 |
| 1 hour before | 1.61 | 4.47 | 5.47 |
| Close | 1.56 | 4.60 | 5.94 |
In the final two hours before kickoff TSG Hoffenheim shortened from 1.63 to 1.56, a +2.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- Hamburger SV vs Borussia Monchengladbach
- RB Leipzig vs Augsburg
- Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg
- SC Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich
- VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
- 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen
- SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin