SteamWatchAugsburg vs Union Berlin: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Augsburg vs Union Berlin (Bundesliga, 24 Oct 2026) was on Union Berlin in the 1X2 market: drifted from 3.57 at open to 4.63 at the close, a -6.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 00:41 UTC on 12 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Augsburg 1-1 Union Berlin. Augsburg closed as the 1.73 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 4.20. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Union Berlin, which drifted from 3.57 to 4.63 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Augsburg at 1.72, 49 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Augsburg did not win.
Augsburg have scored 3.0 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Union Berlin have scored 5.2 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Augsburg | 1.92 | 1.73 | +5.7pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.82 | 4.20 | -2.4pp |
| 1X2 | Union Berlin | 3.57 | 4.63 | -6.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.97 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Augsburg -0.75 | — | 1.93 | — |
| Asian handicap | Union Berlin +0.75 | — | 2.00 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Augsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.92 | 3.82 | 3.57 |
| 48 hours before | 1.85 | 4.18 | 3.94 |
| 24 hours before | 1.86 | 4.12 | 3.90 |
| 6 hours before | 1.83 | 4.11 | 4.08 |
| 1 hour before | 1.75 | 4.24 | 4.44 |
| Close | 1.73 | 4.20 | 4.63 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
- SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
- 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
- SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich