SteamWatchBorussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bundesliga, 24 Oct 2026) was on Eintracht Frankfurt +1.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.90 at open to 2.10 at the close, a -5.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Result
Full time: Borussia Dortmund 1-0 Eintracht Frankfurt. Borussia Dortmund closed as the 1.41 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Eintracht Frankfurt, which drifted from 5.65 to 7.02 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Borussia Dortmund at 1.42, 29 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.2 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Borussia Dortmund won.
Borussia Dortmund have scored 8.2 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Eintracht Frankfurt have scored 6.6 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borussia Dortmund | 1.44 | 1.41 | +1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.06 | 5.47 | -1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5.65 | 7.02 | -3.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.83 | 1.98 | -4.1pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.97 | 1.93 | +1.1pp |
| Asian handicap | Borussia Dortmund -1.25 | 1.92 | 1.84 | +2.3pp |
| Asian handicap | Eintracht Frankfurt +1.25 | 1.90 | 2.10 | -5.0pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.44 | 5.06 | 5.65 |
| 48 hours before | 1.48 | 5.21 | 5.89 |
| 24 hours before | 1.51 | 4.90 | 5.80 |
| 6 hours before | 1.52 | 5.03 | 5.77 |
| 1 hour before | 1.51 | 5.11 | 5.70 |
| Close | 1.41 | 5.47 | 7.02 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Borussia Dortmund shortened from 1.51 to 1.41, a +4.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
- SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
- 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
- SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich