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Bundesliga · kickoff 13:30 UTC on 24 Oct 2026

SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV (Bundesliga, 24 Oct 2026) was on Hamburger SV +0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.85 at open to 1.98 at the close, a -3.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.

Result

Full time: SC Paderborn 1-0 Hamburger SV. SC Paderborn closed as the 2.22 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Hamburger SV, which drifted from 2.96 to 3.27 and did not win.

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SC Paderborn have scored 3.3 goals fewer than their expected goals over the last 12 months (9 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2SC Paderborn2.252.22+0.6pp
1X2Draw3.603.67-0.5pp
1X2Hamburger SV2.963.27-3.2pp
TotalsOver 31.931.93+0.0pp
TotalsUnder 31.881.97-2.4pp
Asian handicapSC Paderborn -0.251.971.94+0.8pp
Asian handicapHamburger SV +0.251.851.98-3.5pp

1227 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 20:25 UTC on 11 Oct 2026 · last 13:28 UTC on 24 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenSC PaderbornDrawHamburger SV
Open2.253.602.96
48 hours before2.353.772.93
24 hours before2.293.733.04
6 hours before2.473.512.92
1 hour before2.443.602.95
Close2.223.673.27

In the final two hours before kickoff SC Paderborn shortened from 2.46 to 2.22, a +4.4 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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