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Bundesliga · kickoff 14:30 UTC on 25 Oct 2026

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga, 25 Oct 2026) was on TSG Hoffenheim +0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.76 at open to 2.10 at the close, a -9.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.

The totals line moved from 3.5 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

Result

Full time: TSG Hoffenheim 3-0 Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen closed as the 2.08 favourite with Pinnacle. TSG Hoffenheim won at a closing price of 3.31. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was TSG Hoffenheim, which drifted from 2.64 to 3.31 and won.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Bayer Leverkusen at 2.10, 4 hours 51 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Bayer Leverkusen did not win.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2TSG Hoffenheim2.643.31-7.7pp
1X2Draw3.914.08-1.1pp
1X2Bayer Leverkusen2.342.08+5.3pp
TotalsOver 3.75—2.09—
TotalsUnder 3.75—1.83—
Asian handicapTSG Hoffenheim +0.251.762.10-9.2pp
Asian handicapBayer Leverkusen -0.252.081.84+6.3pp

1352 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 20:25 UTC on 11 Oct 2026 · last 14:26 UTC on 25 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenTSG HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
Open2.643.912.34
48 hours before2.814.062.32
24 hours before2.833.992.33
6 hours before3.174.042.12
1 hour before3.284.192.06
Close3.314.082.08

No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.

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