SteamWatchSC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich (Bundesliga, 25 Oct 2026) was on Bayern Munich in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.36 at open to 1.45 at the close, a -4.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 15:17 UTC on 15 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 4 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +1.5 at open to +1.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: SC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich closed as the 1.45 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Bayern Munich, which drifted from 1.36 to 1.45 and won.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
SC Freiburg have scored 3.6 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). Bayern Munich have scored 20.2 goals more than their expected goals over the last 12 months (33 league matches). See Goals Coming Soon.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Freiburg | 6.17 | 6.25 | -0.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 5.75 | 5.40 | +1.1pp |
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 1.36 | 1.45 | -4.6pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | — | 1.98 | — |
| Asian handicap | SC Freiburg +1.25 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bayern Munich -1.25 | — | 1.92 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | SC Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 6.17 | 5.75 | 1.36 |
| 48 hours before | 6.90 | 6.14 | 1.37 |
| 24 hours before | 6.53 | 5.68 | 1.41 |
| 6 hours before | 5.45 | 5.07 | 1.52 |
| 1 hour before | 5.52 | 5.06 | 1.52 |
| Close | 6.25 | 5.40 | 1.45 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Bayern Munich shortened from 1.51 to 1.45, a +2.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
Other Bundesliga matches this round
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach
- Augsburg vs Union Berlin
- RB Leipzig vs Elversberg
- FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen
- SC Paderborn vs Hamburger SV
- 1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04
- Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen