SteamWatchRB Leipzig vs Manchester City: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for RB Leipzig vs Manchester City (Champions League, 4 Nov 2026) was on Manchester City in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.51 at open to 1.60 at the close, a -3.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 23:48 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 3.5 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +1.25 at open to +1 at the close.
Result
Full time: RB Leipzig 2-3 Manchester City. Manchester City closed as the 1.60 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Manchester City, which drifted from 1.51 to 1.60 and won.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | RB Leipzig | 5.12 | 5.14 | -0.1pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.72 | 4.81 | -0.4pp |
| 1X2 | Manchester City | 1.51 | 1.60 | -3.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.75 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.75 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Asian handicap | RB Leipzig +1 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Asian handicap | Manchester City -1 | — | 1.96 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | RB Leipzig | Draw | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 5.12 | 4.72 | 1.51 |
| 48 hours before | 5.34 | 4.88 | 1.56 |
| 24 hours before | 5.40 | 4.98 | 1.54 |
| 6 hours before | 5.70 | 5.06 | 1.53 |
| 1 hour before | 5.29 | 4.85 | 1.58 |
| Close | 5.14 | 4.81 | 1.60 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
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