SteamWatchVillarreal vs Paris Saint Germain: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Villarreal vs Paris Saint Germain (Champions League, 3 Nov 2026) was on Paris Saint Germain in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.52 at open to 1.76 at the close, a -9.0 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 00:08 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
Result
Full time: Villarreal 0-6 Paris Saint Germain. Paris Saint Germain closed as the 1.76 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Paris Saint Germain, which drifted from 1.52 to 1.76 and won.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Villarreal | 4.60 | 4.35 | +1.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.60 | 4.30 | +1.5pp |
| 1X2 | Paris Saint Germain | 1.52 | 1.76 | -9.0pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | 1.81 | 1.91 | -2.9pp |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | 2.00 | 2.00 | +0.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Villarreal +0.75 | 2.04 | 1.93 | +2.8pp |
| Asian handicap | Paris Saint Germain -0.75 | 1.79 | 2.00 | -5.9pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Villarreal | Draw | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.60 | 4.60 | 1.52 |
| 48 hours before | 4.78 | 4.71 | 1.63 |
| 24 hours before | 4.83 | 4.74 | 1.62 |
| 6 hours before | 4.46 | 4.35 | 1.72 |
| 1 hour before | 4.63 | 4.37 | 1.69 |
| Close | 4.35 | 4.30 | 1.76 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Paris Saint Germain drifted from 1.71 to 1.76, a -1.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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