SteamWatchBarcelona vs Aston Villa: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Barcelona vs Aston Villa (Champions League, 3 Nov 2026) was on Aston Villa in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.00 at open to 8.75 at the close, a -13.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 00:40 UTC on 22 Oct 2026.
The totals line moved from 4 at open to 4.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -2 at open to -1.75 at the close.
Result
Full time: Barcelona 3-0 Aston Villa. Barcelona closed as the 1.29 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Aston Villa, which drifted from 4.00 to 8.75 and did not win.
Steam alerts
No SteamWatch steam alert was sent for this match.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Barcelona | 1.26 | 1.29 | -1.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.00 | 7.00 | -10.7pp |
| 1X2 | Aston Villa | 4.00 | 8.75 | -13.6pp |
| Totals | Over 4.5 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Totals | Under 4.5 | — | 1.89 | — |
| Asian handicap | Barcelona -1.75 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Asian handicap | Aston Villa +1.75 | — | 2.06 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Barcelona | Draw | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.26 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| 48 hours before | 1.26 | 7.23 | 9.25 |
| 24 hours before | 1.25 | 7.25 | 9.46 |
| 6 hours before | 1.28 | 7.11 | 8.63 |
| 1 hour before | 1.27 | 7.13 | 8.91 |
| Close | 1.29 | 7.00 | 8.75 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Barcelona drifted from 1.27 to 1.29, a -1.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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