SteamWatchShakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting Lisbon (Champions League, 3 Nov 2026) was on Sporting Lisbon in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.88 at open to 2.23 at the close, a -8.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:01 UTC on 3 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 2.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.5 at open to +0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-1 Sporting Lisbon. Sporting Lisbon closed as the 2.23 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Sporting Lisbon, which drifted from 1.88 to 2.23 and won.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3.73 | 3.38 | +2.8pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.81 | 3.56 | +1.8pp |
| 1X2 | Sporting Lisbon | 1.88 | 2.23 | -8.3pp |
| Totals | Over 2.75 | — | 2.00 | — |
| Totals | Under 2.75 | — | 1.91 | — |
| Asian handicap | Shakhtar Donetsk +0.25 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Asian handicap | Sporting Lisbon -0.25 | — | 1.93 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.73 | 3.81 | 1.88 |
| 48 hours before | 3.65 | 3.92 | 1.99 |
| 24 hours before | 3.62 | 3.88 | 2.01 |
| 6 hours before | 3.55 | 3.81 | 2.08 |
| 1 hour before | 3.52 | 3.81 | 2.09 |
| Close | 3.38 | 3.56 | 2.23 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Sporting Lisbon drifted from 2.09 to 2.23, a -3.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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