SteamWatchFenerbahce vs Liverpool: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Fenerbahce vs Liverpool (Champions League, 4 Nov 2026) was on Fenerbahce in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.40 at open to 5.45 at the close, a -4.4 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 12:07 UTC on 4 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.75 at open to +1 at the close.
Result
Full time: Fenerbahce 3-2 Liverpool. Liverpool closed as the 1.59 favourite with Pinnacle. Fenerbahce won at a closing price of 5.45. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Fenerbahce, which drifted from 4.40 to 5.45 and won.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahce | 4.40 | 5.45 | -4.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.10 | 4.60 | -2.7pp |
| 1X2 | Liverpool | 1.68 | 1.59 | +3.4pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.95 | — |
| Asian handicap | Fenerbahce +1 | — | 1.96 | — |
| Asian handicap | Liverpool -1 | — | 1.96 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Fenerbahce | Draw | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 4.40 | 4.10 | 1.68 |
| 48 hours before | 5.51 | 4.72 | 1.56 |
| 24 hours before | 5.76 | 4.99 | 1.51 |
| 6 hours before | 6.64 | 5.35 | 1.45 |
| 1 hour before | 5.50 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
| Close | 5.45 | 4.60 | 1.59 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Liverpool drifted from 1.48 to 1.59, a -4.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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