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Champions League · kickoff 17:45 UTC on 4 Nov 2026

AEK Athens vs Real Madrid: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for AEK Athens vs Real Madrid (Champions League, 4 Nov 2026) was on Real Madrid in the 1X2 market: shortened from 1.33 at open to 1.21 at the close, a +7.5 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:15 UTC on 4 Nov 2026.

The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

The Asian handicap line moved from +1.5 at open to +2 at the close.

Result

Full time: AEK Athens 2-3 Real Madrid. Real Madrid closed as the 1.21 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Real Madrid, which shortened from 1.33 to 1.21 and won.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2AEK Athens7.4112.00-5.2pp
1X2Draw5.538.25-6.0pp
1X2Real Madrid1.331.21+7.5pp
TotalsOver 3.5—1.81—
TotalsUnder 3.5—2.10—
Asian handicapAEK Athens +2—2.00—
Asian handicapReal Madrid -2—1.91—

1300 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 23:20 UTC on 21 Oct 2026 · last 17:43 UTC on 4 Nov 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenAEK AthensDrawReal Madrid
Open7.415.531.33
48 hours before10.537.081.24
24 hours before10.777.261.23
6 hours before11.957.341.23
1 hour before13.087.501.21
Close12.008.251.21

In the final two hours before kickoff the draw drifted from 7.23 to 8.25, a -1.7 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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