SteamWatchManchester United vs AS Roma: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Manchester United vs AS Roma (Champions League, 3 Nov 2026) was on Manchester United in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.81 at open to 2.10 at the close, a -7.6 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 22:22 UTC on 2 Nov 2026.
The totals line moved from 3 at open to 3.25 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.5 at open to -0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Manchester United 3-2 AS Roma. Manchester United closed as the 2.10 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Manchester United, which drifted from 1.81 to 2.10 and won.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manchester United | 1.81 | 2.10 | -7.6pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 3.92 | 4.34 | -2.5pp |
| 1X2 | AS Roma | 3.89 | 3.14 | +6.1pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | — | 1.99 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | — | 1.92 | — |
| Asian handicap | Manchester United -0.25 | — | 1.87 | — |
| Asian handicap | AS Roma +0.25 | — | 2.06 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Manchester United | Draw | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.81 | 3.92 | 3.89 |
| 48 hours before | 2.38 | 4.02 | 2.77 |
| 24 hours before | 2.35 | 4.08 | 2.77 |
| 6 hours before | 2.18 | 4.09 | 3.09 |
| 1 hour before | 2.19 | 4.16 | 3.05 |
| Close | 2.10 | 4.34 | 3.14 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Manchester United shortened from 2.20 to 2.10, a +2.2 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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