Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich (Champions League, 3 Nov 2026) was on Bayern Munich in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.94 at open to 2.09 at the close, a -3.7 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 19:48 UTC on 31 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from +0.5 at open to +0.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Atlético Madrid 0-2 Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich closed as the 2.09 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Bayern Munich, which drifted from 1.94 to 2.09 and won.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Bayern Munich at 2.17, 51 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.4 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Bayern Munich won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético Madrid | 3.24 | 3.39 | -1.4pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.16 | 3.96 | +1.2pp |
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 1.94 | 2.09 | -3.7pp |
| Totals | Over 3.25 | 1.85 | 1.90 | -1.4pp |
| Totals | Under 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.01 | -1.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Atlético Madrid +0.25 | — | 2.10 | — |
| Asian handicap | Bayern Munich -0.25 | — | 1.84 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Atlético Madrid | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 3.24 | 4.16 | 1.94 |
| 48 hours before | 2.77 | 3.95 | 2.40 |
| 24 hours before | 2.77 | 3.94 | 2.40 |
| 6 hours before | 2.89 | 3.86 | 2.38 |
| 1 hour before | 3.12 | 3.89 | 2.24 |
| Close | 3.39 | 3.96 | 2.09 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Bayern Munich shortened from 2.26 to 2.09, a +3.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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