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Champions League · kickoff 19:00 UTC on 20 Oct 2026

Manchester City vs AEK Athens: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Manchester City vs AEK Athens (Champions League, 20 Oct 2026) was on Manchester City in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.09 at open to 1.17 at the close, a -6.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 05:16 UTC on 20 Oct 2026.

The totals line moved from 3.5 at open to 3.75 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.

The Asian handicap line moved from -2.5 at open to -2.25 at the close.

Result

Full time: Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens. Manchester City closed as the 1.17 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Manchester City, which drifted from 1.09 to 1.17 and won.

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Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Manchester City1.091.17-6.3pp
1X2Draw10.238.75+1.7pp
1X2AEK Athens18.9716.00+1.0pp
TotalsOver 3.75—1.93—
TotalsUnder 3.75—1.96—
Asian handicapManchester City -2.25—1.99—
Asian handicapAEK Athens +2.25—1.92—

548 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 22:11 UTC on 14 Oct 2026 · last 18:56 UTC on 20 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenManchester CityDrawAEK Athens
Open1.0910.2318.97
48 hours before1.1011.8121.38
24 hours before1.1011.0422.16
6 hours before1.1210.1821.57
1 hour before1.149.0918.12
Close1.178.7516.00

In the final two hours before kickoff Manchester City drifted from 1.13 to 1.17, a -3.0 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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