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Champions League · kickoff 16:45 UTC on 21 Oct 2026

Como vs Manchester United: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Como vs Manchester United (Champions League, 21 Oct 2026) was on Como in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.20 at open to 2.43 at the close, a -4.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 11:33 UTC on 15 Oct 2026.

The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to +0 at the close.

Result

Full time: Como 4-1 Manchester United. Como closed as the 2.43 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Como, which drifted from 2.20 to 2.43 and won.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Manchester United at 2.76, 4 hours 4 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.2 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Manchester United did not win.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Como2.202.43-4.3pp
1X2Draw3.883.74+1.0pp
1X2Manchester United2.862.87-0.1pp
TotalsOver 31.951.93+0.5pp
TotalsUnder 31.851.98-3.5pp
Asian handicapComo +0—1.81—
Asian handicapManchester United -0—2.14—

655 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 22:11 UTC on 14 Oct 2026 · last 16:44 UTC on 21 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenComoDrawManchester United
Open2.203.882.86
48 hours before2.273.882.98
24 hours before2.193.833.17
6 hours before2.373.822.91
1 hour before2.513.832.71
Close2.433.742.87

In the final two hours before kickoff Manchester United drifted from 2.72 to 2.87, a -1.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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