SteamWatchInter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Inter Milan vs Shakhtar Donetsk (Champions League, 21 Oct 2026) was on Inter Milan -1.75 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.74 at open to 2.00 at the close, a -7.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.
The totals line moved from 3.25 at open to 3.5 at the close, so open and current prices are not directly comparable.
Result
Full time: Inter Milan 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk. Inter Milan closed as the 1.28 favourite with Pinnacle and won. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Inter Milan, which drifted from 1.20 to 1.28 and won.
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter Milan | 1.20 | 1.28 | -5.2pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.80 | 6.50 | +0.7pp |
| 1X2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 10.75 | 10.25 | +0.5pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | — | 1.85 | — |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | — | 2.04 | — |
| Asian handicap | Inter Milan -1.75 | 1.74 | 2.00 | -7.5pp |
| Asian handicap | Shakhtar Donetsk +1.75 | 2.10 | 1.91 | +4.7pp |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Inter Milan | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.20 | 6.80 | 10.75 |
| 48 hours before | 1.19 | 8.09 | 13.26 |
| 24 hours before | 1.20 | 7.70 | 12.07 |
| 6 hours before | 1.24 | 7.04 | 10.83 |
| 1 hour before | 1.25 | 6.82 | 10.33 |
| Close | 1.28 | 6.50 | 10.25 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Inter Milan drifted from 1.25 to 1.28, a -1.9 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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