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Champions League · kickoff 16:45 UTC on 21 Oct 2026

Lille vs Galatasaray: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Lille vs Galatasaray (Champions League, 21 Oct 2026) was on Lille in the 1X2 market: drifted from 2.15 at open to 2.59 at the close, a -7.9 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 15:50 UTC on 21 Oct 2026.

The Asian handicap line moved from -0.25 at open to +0 at the close.

Result

Full time: Lille 2-4 Galatasaray. Lille closed as the 2.59 favourite with Pinnacle. Galatasaray won at a closing price of 2.77. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Lille, which drifted from 2.15 to 2.59 and did not win.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Galatasaray at 2.79, 42 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Galatasaray won.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Lille2.152.59-7.9pp
1X2Draw3.613.57+0.3pp
1X2Galatasaray3.132.77+4.2pp
TotalsOver 2.751.841.88-1.2pp
TotalsUnder 2.751.962.03-1.8pp
Asian handicapLille +0—1.90—
Asian handicapGalatasaray -0—2.03—

654 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 22:27 UTC on 14 Oct 2026 · last 16:44 UTC on 21 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenLilleDrawGalatasaray
Open2.153.613.13
48 hours before2.193.763.22
24 hours before2.213.783.17
6 hours before2.233.763.19
1 hour before2.233.673.25
Close2.593.572.77

In the final two hours before kickoff Lille drifted from 2.25 to 2.59, a -5.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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