SteamWatchSporting Lisbon vs LASK: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Sporting Lisbon vs LASK (Champions League, 21 Oct 2026) was on Sporting Lisbon in the 1X2 market: drifted from 1.20 at open to 1.37 at the close, a -10.3 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 22:43 UTC on 14 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -2 at open to -1.5 at the close.
Result
Full time: Sporting Lisbon 2-3 LASK. Sporting Lisbon closed as the 1.37 favourite with Pinnacle. LASK won at a closing price of 7.85. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Sporting Lisbon, which drifted from 1.20 to 1.37 and did not win.
Steam alerts
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on the draw at 6.11, 2 hours 57 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.1 percentage-point rise in implied probability. The match was not drawn.
SteamWatch sent a steam alert on LASK at 7.85, 1 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.3 percentage-point rise in implied probability. LASK won.
Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting Lisbon | 1.20 | 1.37 | -10.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 6.86 | 5.75 | +2.8pp |
| 1X2 | LASK | 10.19 | 7.85 | +2.9pp |
| Totals | Over 3.5 | 1.96 | 1.82 | +3.9pp |
| Totals | Under 3.5 | 1.83 | 2.08 | -6.6pp |
| Asian handicap | Sporting Lisbon -1.5 | — | 2.01 | — |
| Asian handicap | LASK +1.5 | — | 1.92 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Sporting Lisbon | Draw | LASK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.20 | 6.86 | 10.19 |
| 48 hours before | 1.21 | 7.72 | 11.09 |
| 24 hours before | 1.19 | 8.17 | 12.00 |
| 6 hours before | 1.27 | 6.59 | 9.34 |
| 1 hour before | 1.32 | 6.00 | 8.76 |
| Close | 1.37 | 5.75 | 7.85 |
In the final two hours before kickoff Sporting Lisbon drifted from 1.34 to 1.37, a -1.6 percentage-point change in implied probability.
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