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Champions League · kickoff 19:00 UTC on 21 Oct 2026

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal: odds movement

The biggest pre-kickoff move for Bayern Munich vs Arsenal (Champions League, 21 Oct 2026) was on Bayern Munich -0.25 in the Asian handicap market: drifted from 1.88 at open to 2.11 at the close, a -5.8 percentage-point change in implied probability.

Result

Full time: Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal. Bayern Munich closed as the 2.40 favourite with Pinnacle. The match finished level, with the draw closing at 3.81. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was Bayern Munich, which drifted from 2.13 to 2.40 and did not win.

Steam alerts

SteamWatch sent a steam alert on Arsenal at 2.95, 71 minutes before kickoff, after a 4.0 percentage-point rise in implied probability. Arsenal did not win.

Pinnacle prices, open to close

MarketSelectionOpenCloseImplied change
1X2Bayern Munich2.132.40-5.3pp
1X2Draw3.803.81-0.1pp
1X2Arsenal3.042.84+2.3pp
TotalsOver 32.011.99+0.5pp
TotalsUnder 31.811.92-3.2pp
Asian handicapBayern Munich -0.251.882.11-5.8pp
Asian handicapArsenal +0.251.941.83+3.1pp

677 pre-kickoff 1X2 snapshots · first 22:27 UTC on 14 Oct 2026 · last 18:58 UTC on 21 Oct 2026

Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.

1X2 price timeline

WhenBayern MunichDrawArsenal
Open2.133.803.04
48 hours before2.044.003.39
24 hours before2.083.963.33
6 hours before2.263.823.10
1 hour before2.463.802.77
Close2.403.812.84

In the final two hours before kickoff Arsenal shortened from 3.06 to 2.84, a +2.5 percentage-point change in implied probability.

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