SteamWatchPorto vs PSV Eindhoven: odds movement
The biggest pre-kickoff move for Porto vs PSV Eindhoven (Champions League, 20 Oct 2026) was on PSV Eindhoven in the 1X2 market: drifted from 4.23 at open to 6.30 at the close, a -7.8 percentage-point change in implied probability, with the largest single step at 17:59 UTC on 17 Oct 2026.
The Asian handicap line moved from -0.75 at open to -1.25 at the close.
Result
Full time: Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven. Porto closed as the 1.51 favourite with Pinnacle. PSV Eindhoven won at a closing price of 6.30. The biggest 1X2 mover from open to close was PSV Eindhoven, which drifted from 4.23 to 6.30 and won.
Steam alerts
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Pinnacle prices, open to close
| Market | Selection | Open | Close | Implied change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Porto | 1.67 | 1.51 | +6.3pp |
| 1X2 | Draw | 4.34 | 4.70 | -1.8pp |
| 1X2 | PSV Eindhoven | 4.23 | 6.30 | -7.8pp |
| Totals | Over 3 | 1.86 | 1.96 | -2.7pp |
| Totals | Under 3 | 1.94 | 1.94 | +0.0pp |
| Asian handicap | Porto -1.25 | — | 2.11 | — |
| Asian handicap | PSV Eindhoven +1.25 | — | 1.83 | — |
Implied change is the movement in implied probability (100 divided by the decimal price) from open to close, in percentage points. Positive means the price shortened, negative means it drifted. Prices are Pinnacle's, captured roughly every 15 minutes before kickoff.
1X2 price timeline
| When | Porto | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|---|
| Open | 1.67 | 4.34 | 4.23 |
| 48 hours before | 1.64 | 4.71 | 4.67 |
| 24 hours before | 1.56 | 4.75 | 5.44 |
| 6 hours before | 1.54 | 4.60 | 5.87 |
| 1 hour before | 1.52 | 4.63 | 6.13 |
| Close | 1.51 | 4.70 | 6.30 |
No 1X2 price moved by more than 1 percentage point in the final two hours before kickoff.
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